Tomorrow is the first day the voting public will have since last November to send a loud and clear message to Washington.  It's been almost one year since Barack Obama and the Democrats won control over the White House, House of Representatives, and the Senate.  American voters have had the chance to see what the most liberal president ever to occupy the Oval Office has in store for them.  In many respects, tomorrows elections in Virginia, New Jersey, and a special House race in New York will give all of us a reading of the electorate's mood.

According to the most recent polls, it would appear New York Conservative Party (3rd party) Congressional candidate Doug Hoffman is now firmly in the lead.  You'll recall the New York state GOP party bosses handed the nomination (no primary) for this Congressional seat to a liberal so far left she makes Van Jones blush.  That candidate dropped out of the race on Saturday and vindictively threw her support to the Democrat nominee.  But the most recent polling suggests Conservative Party candidate Hoffman now enjoys a 17 point lead.  This number seems suspiciously high but clearly the momentum is with Hoffman.

Despite aggressive campaign support from Obama and his minions, the Democrats look poised to lose the governorship and many "down ballot" candidates in Virginia.  Polling data indicates Republican Bob McDonnell continues a large lead - the RCP average is now +13.8 McDonnell.  Turnout will be a key factor here (as with all races).  While Obama won Virginia last year, it's becoming clear that was a one-time fluke and Virginia is turning decidedly more red - likely as a result of the direction Obama wants to take this country.

Then there's the state of New Jersey and their governor's race.  This race is said to be tied according to polling.  The RCP average gives Republican Chris Christie a 1 point advantage.  Nowhere is the energy and momentum issue more important.  Both sides will be pouring in resources to get out their vote.  But who is more motivated?  It's just a guess, but I suspect the energy is with those who are right of center with their politics.  This may be a "nail-biter" of an election but no one should be surprised if Mr. Christie wins by 5-8 points.

The White House is already downplaying the significance of these electoral contests.  That's a sure sign they concur with analysis such as this.  Obama's cheerleaders in the press will surely express the same sentiment tomorrow night and in the days to come.  But they do so at their own peril.  Ignoring the message coming from these early contests in advance of the 2010 mid-terms will only ensure massive losses in those races for the Democrats.

Perhaps the leftists leaders in control of the agenda in Washington already know this.  Maybe they believe it's far more important to implement that agenda no matter the cost knowing that once they are in place, they're impossible to reverse.  It's possible they know their fate is already sealed so why not throw all caution to the wind and jam through as much of their freedom-stealing legislation as possible.

While it may work to the electoral advantage of conservatives for the liberals to proceed full steam ahead, the damage done to what was once known as America may be impossible to fully repair.

DCuz